Robust Simulation for Mega-Risks : The Path from Single-Solution to Competitive, Multi-Solution Methods for Mega-Risk Management - Taylor, Craig E.; SpringerLink (Online service) (Cham : Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Springer, 2015)
Introduction: Initial Queries Going Forward -- The Deductivist Theory of Probability and Statistics -- The Frequency Theory of Probability -- Probability and Randomness as Beliefs: Bayesian Theory -- More Challenges to Tradition: Extreme Value Diagnostics, Power Laws, and the Wobble -- Mathematization of Statistics: Flexibility and Convergence -- Robust Simulation and Non-linear Reasoning: Quantitative and Qualitative Examples -- Managing Expectations: Qualitative Considerations And Quantitative Decision Procedures -- Conclusions and Queries.
Keywords: Natural disasters; Computer simulation; System theory; Natural Hazards; Simulation and Modeling; Complex Systems