Robust Simulation for Mega-Risks : The Path from Single-Solution to Competitive, Multi-Solution Methods for Mega-Risk Management /
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| Format: | eBook |
| Language: | English |
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Cham :
Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Springer,
2015.
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| Edition: | 1st ed. 2015. |
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Table of Contents:
- Introduction: Initial Queries Going Forward
- The Deductivist Theory of Probability and Statistics
- The Frequency Theory of Probability
- Probability and Randomness as Beliefs: Bayesian Theory
- More Challenges to Tradition: Extreme Value Diagnostics, Power Laws, and the Wobble
- Mathematization of Statistics: Flexibility and Convergence
- Robust Simulation and Non-linear Reasoning: Quantitative and Qualitative Examples
- Managing Expectations: Qualitative Considerations And Quantitative Decision Procedures
- Conclusions and Queries.